Moderate Storm Aug 10, 2026 - Aug 10, 2026

Mon August 10 New York (Lake Ontario) & Ohio & Pennsylvania Storm

Aug 10 Alley front -- 0.4" delivered, Johnson Creek peaked +14hrs as expected.

August 10 New York (Lake Ontario) & Ohio & Pennsylvania Storm Card

Meteorological Analysis

A moderate storm system rolled through the Steelhead Alley region starting on Monday, August 10, 2026 and lasting until Monday, August 10, 2026. The storm was active for approximately 1 hours, dumping a maximum of 0.40" of rain across affected zones. Geographically, the weather system impacted the New York (Lake Ontario), Ohio, Pennsylvania regions, causing rapid water-level rises on multiple tributaries.

Gauges recorded significant river responses, particularly along Black River (peaking at 30 CFS), Cuyahoga River @ Independence (peaking at 391 CFS), Rocky River near Berea (peaking at 84 CFS), Vermilion River @ Vermilion (peaking at 47 CFS), Huron River (peaking at 68 CFS), Elk Creek (peaking at 8 CFS), Walnut Creek (peaking at 8 CFS), Twenty Mile Creek (peaking at 13 CFS), Eighteenmile Creek (Niagara) (peaking at 96 CFS), Brandy Run near Girard (peaking at 1 CFS), Grand River near Painesville (peaking at 75 CFS), Crooked Creek (peaking at 3 CFS), Ashtabula River (peaking at 21 CFS), Conneaut Creek (peaking at 27 CFS), Euclid Creek (peaking at 19 CFS), Chagrin River @ Willoughby (peaking at 255 CFS), Genesee River (peaking at 1,180 CFS), Sandy Creek (Hamlin) (peaking at 62 CFS), Irondequoit Creek (peaking at 105 CFS), Oak Orchard Creek (peaking at 840 CFS), Black River (Watertown) (peaking at 1,290 CFS), Sandy Creek (Adams) (peaking at 71 CFS), Salmon River (peaking at 244 CFS), Johnson Creek (peaking at 97 CFS). Angling conditions deteriorated quickly during the peak flow periods, leading to temporary washouts. Gaging stations monitored the recovery times as flows began returning to their baselines, mapping out the best windows for fishermen to get back on the water.

From a weather prediction standpoint, the NWS forecasts for this event received an aggregate score card grade of 'B'. Gaging observations were matched against NWS precipitation models to assess the forecasting margins, highlighting the variance in local rainfall amounts across the lake shores.

Tributary Response & Recovery

Black River

Pre-Storm Flow
N/A
Observed Peak
30 CFS
Peak Time
Aug 10, 00:02
Recovers By
Aug 10, 02:03

Cuyahoga River @ Independence

Pre-Storm Flow
N/A
Observed Peak
391 CFS
Peak Time
Aug 10, 00:15
Recovers By
Aug 10, 02:48

Rocky River near Berea

Pre-Storm Flow
N/A
Observed Peak
84 CFS
Peak Time
Aug 10, 00:00
Recovers By
Aug 10, 02:33

Vermilion River @ Vermilion

Pre-Storm Flow
N/A
Observed Peak
47 CFS
Peak Time
Aug 10, 00:02
Recovers By
Aug 10, 02:03

Huron River

Pre-Storm Flow
73 CFS
Observed Peak
68 CFS
Peak Time
Aug 10, 01:00
Recovers By
Aug 10, 01:03

Elk Creek

Pre-Storm Flow
N/A
Observed Peak
8 CFS
Peak Time
Aug 10, 00:45

Walnut Creek

Pre-Storm Flow
N/A
Observed Peak
8 CFS
Peak Time
Aug 10, 00:02

Twenty Mile Creek

Pre-Storm Flow
N/A
Observed Peak
13 CFS
Peak Time
Aug 10, 00:45

Eighteenmile Creek (Niagara)

Pre-Storm Flow
N/A
Observed Peak
96 CFS
Peak Time
Aug 10, 00:00

Brandy Run near Girard

Pre-Storm Flow
N/A
Observed Peak
1 CFS
Peak Time
Aug 10, 00:15

Grand River near Painesville

Pre-Storm Flow
N/A
Observed Peak
75 CFS
Peak Time
Aug 10, 00:15
Recovers By
Aug 10, 03:19

Crooked Creek

Pre-Storm Flow
N/A
Observed Peak
3 CFS
Peak Time
Aug 10, 00:45

Ashtabula River

Pre-Storm Flow
N/A
Observed Peak
21 CFS
Peak Time
Aug 10, 00:45

Conneaut Creek

Pre-Storm Flow
N/A
Observed Peak
27 CFS
Peak Time
Aug 10, 00:45

Euclid Creek

Pre-Storm Flow
N/A
Observed Peak
19 CFS
Peak Time
Aug 10, 00:45

Chagrin River @ Willoughby

Pre-Storm Flow
N/A
Observed Peak
255 CFS
Peak Time
Aug 10, 00:01
Recovers By
Aug 10, 03:19

Genesee River

Pre-Storm Flow
N/A
Observed Peak
1,180 CFS
Peak Time
Aug 10, 00:45

Sandy Creek (Hamlin)

Pre-Storm Flow
N/A
Observed Peak
62 CFS
Peak Time
Aug 10, 00:00

Irondequoit Creek

Pre-Storm Flow
N/A
Observed Peak
105 CFS
Peak Time
Aug 10, 00:01

Oak Orchard Creek

Pre-Storm Flow
N/A
Observed Peak
840 CFS
Peak Time
Aug 10, 00:15

Black River (Watertown)

Pre-Storm Flow
N/A
Observed Peak
1,290 CFS
Peak Time
Aug 10, 00:15

Sandy Creek (Adams)

Pre-Storm Flow
N/A
Observed Peak
71 CFS
Peak Time
Aug 10, 00:01

Salmon River

Pre-Storm Flow
N/A
Observed Peak
244 CFS
Peak Time
Aug 10, 01:00

Johnson Creek

Pre-Storm Flow
N/A
Observed Peak
97 CFS
Peak Time
Aug 10, 00:15

Fishing Guide & Tactics

Looking for advice on how to target steelhead on these rivers when they are recovering from a storm? Check out our master guides:

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