Walleye
PeakWhere: lake mouths, harbor edges, deeper basin water, and low-light shoreline structure on Irondequoit Creek.
Move: crawler harnesses, crankbaits, jigs, and evening presentations near moving water.
Species guide →Irondequoit Creek
Good
About Irondequoit Creek
Irondequoit Creek drains 151 square miles of Rochester suburbs into Irondequoit Bay and Lake Ontario, less famous than the Genesee or Salmon River but a steady producer for anglers willing to fish it. The Powder Mills Park reach is the iconic access; the lower reach through the Penfield reaches and the Irondequoit Bay mouth holds fish in fall and spring. Limestone-influenced; fishes with consistency.
October through April. Peak runs late October through December and again March through April. Limestone influence keeps it clearer than other regional creeks. The steelhead model reference on Irondequoit Creek is 180–400 CFS. Basis: Per-river researched optimal range This is not a flood-stage or wading limit. The historical median flow is approximately 66 CFS, based on the available gauge history.
Current conditions (gauge observation Nov 5, 2026 3:15 AM EST): flow 64 CFS, water 55.8°F, clarity estimated from flow: clear. The Almanac Briefing rates the river GOOD as of this reading.
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Almanac Briefing
Chrome Clock
7-Day Chart
Forecast
Reports
Flow Rate
64.2
CFS
Gauge Height
2.80
ft
Water Temp
55.8
°F
Air Temp
61.8
°F
Estimated clarity
Clear
Estimated from flow — visibility unverified
Wind
🌬 Calm
≤5 mph
Water temperature source: USGS 0423205010 (primary sensor), observed Nov 5, 2026 3:15 AM EST.
Gauge observation: 1 hour ago (Nov 5, 2026 3:15 AM EST)
Conditions today: Good. Trending: rough.
Flow
Pressure
Air temp, scaled
Rain per hour
Storm pulse window
Hourly flow pending
Confidence: 0.3
No storm pulse was detected in the lookback, but the barometer dropped 0.28 inHg over the last 24 hours. Flow ranged from 63 to 69 CFS (mean 64 CFS) across the selected lookback. Available water-temperature readings averaged 52°F. Pressure alone does not confirm fish activity. No substantial rain or strong wind is indicated in the available forecast; this does not guarantee stable river flow.
Lookback window Nov 2, 4 am to Nov 5, 4 am ET.
Data refresh every 15 min. This is a pattern read, not proof of causation; fish reserve the right to embarrass the spreadsheet.
Flow
Pressure
Air temp, scaled
Rain per hour
Storm pulse window
Hourly flow pending
No storm pulse was detected in the lookback, but the barometer dropped 0.28 inHg over the last 24 hours. Flow ranged from 59 to 69 CFS (mean 64 CFS) across the selected lookback. Available water-temperature readings averaged 52°F. Pressure alone does not confirm fish activity. No substantial rain or strong wind is indicated in the available forecast; this does not guarantee stable river flow.
Lookback window Oct 29, 5 am to Nov 5, 4 am ET.
Data refresh every 15 min. This is a pattern read, not proof of causation; fish reserve the right to embarrass the spreadsheet.
| Gauge | Flow (CFS) | Height (ft) | Water Temp | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Irondequoit Creek above Blossom Rd, Rochester (primary) | 64 | 2.80 | 55.8°F | 1 hour ago Nov 5, 2026 3:15 AM EST |
| Irondequoit Creek at Railroad Mills, Fishers | 18 | 4.12 | - | 1 hour ago Nov 5, 2026 3:15 AM EST |
Almanac Briefing
Guide-level river, weather and fishing intelligence
Based on gauge observation from Thu, Nov 5 at 3:15 AM EST (1 hour ago)
Evidence at a glance
- Last reported flow
- 64.2 CFS Configured USGS gauge for Irondequoit Creek.
- Flow observation time
- 1 hour ago · Within the current observation window
- Water temperature · separate sensor evidence
- 55.8°F USGS 0423205010 · primary sensor Observed (1 hour ago).
- Assessment basis
- Clarity is estimated from flow. Ratings are model assessments.
- Issued forecast · separate from observations
- 60.2 CFS projected for Thu Nov 5, 12:00 PM EST.Issued Nov 4, 6:00 PM EST. This is a forecast, not an observed reading.
Conditions do not establish fish presence or safe wading. Before a trip, verify current gauge readings, official weather alerts, access and regulations. Sources and methodology
Low flow at 64 CFS. Estimated clarity is clear. Water temperature 55.8°F. Water assessment: good.
Season & Run Context
Lake Ontario · Fall run season · modeled
The lake-temperature model has this basin in run season. Now it’s about picking your water: follow the flow, the recovery after rain and the latest local reports.
Model snapshot 2026-11-04 · lake surface temperature 55.4°F
Fishing Evidence
Quiet on the report front: no shared angler reports for these rivers in the last seven days.
Review regional steelhead signals in Pulse →Flow History & Response
Last 24 hours of stored flow history: 62.6–70.7 CFS across 180 readings. First-to-last change: +1.6 CFS.
Inspect the flow history →Prior Storms · Last 14 Days
Oct 30: October 30 New York (Lake Ontario) Storm; ended Oct 30, 7:15 AM EDT; archived rainfall forecast 0.000 in; archived basin rainfall maximum 0.000 in.
Oct 29: October 29-30 New York (Lake Erie) & New York (Lake Ontario) & Ohio Storm; ended Oct 29, 9:00 PM EDT; archived rainfall forecast 0.000 in; archived basin rainfall maximum 0.320 in.
Issued River Flow Outlook
Irondequoit Creek · 60.2 CFS projected for Thu Nov 5, 12:00 PM EST (issued Nov 4, 6:00 PM EST)
Irondequoit Creek · 60.2 CFS projected for Fri Nov 6, 12:00 PM EST (issued Nov 4, 6:00 PM EST)
Irondequoit Creek · 60.2 CFS projected for Sat Nov 7, 12:00 PM EST (issued Nov 4, 6:00 PM EST)
Regional outlook: next available target per river. Individual briefings: up to three targets.
Forecast vs. Actual · Verification
Saved system-wide verification as of 2026-11-04T23:00:34+00:00: 12648 locked forecast cases, 8907 evaluated against later own-gauge readings. Pending, missing and excluded cases and errors by model, river and lead time are documented in the methodology. River results for model c5c4a91f: 60 scored cases; mean absolute flow error 33.6 CFS. Paired comparison (60 cases): model error 33.6 CFS versus 12.2 CFS for holding the issuance flow unchanged. River results for model 395a5868: 60 scored cases; mean absolute flow error 24.2 CFS. Paired comparison (60 cases): model error 24.2 CFS versus 18.1 CFS for holding the issuance flow unchanged. River results for model c2a5feaf: 6 scored cases; mean absolute flow error 30.6 CFS. Paired comparison (6 cases): model error 30.6 CFS versus 28.7 CFS for holding the issuance flow unchanged. River results for model 467e92d7: 12 scored cases; mean absolute flow error 29.3 CFS. Paired comparison (12 cases): model error 29.3 CFS versus 28.9 CFS for holding the issuance flow unchanged. River results for model ae671bd0: 90 scored cases; mean absolute flow error 37.9 CFS. Paired comparison (90 cases): model error 37.9 CFS versus 30.8 CFS for holding the issuance flow unchanged. River results for model 48521c91: 92 scored cases; mean absolute flow error 2.7 CFS. Paired comparison (92 cases): model error 2.7 CFS versus 2.3 CFS for holding the issuance flow unchanged. River results for model b3f961a9: 20 scored cases; mean absolute flow error 5.8 CFS. Paired comparison (20 cases): model error 5.8 CFS versus 5.1 CFS for holding the issuance flow unchanged. This verifies flow forecasts, not catches, clarity or the entire Alley Index.
Review forecast verification →Sources & Methodology
Water ratings summarize flow, temperature and weather. Run context comes from the lake-temperature model; fishing totals come from shared angler reports. Clarity is estimated from flow, and temperature may come from a secondary gauge. Gauge timestamps and coverage describe the available history. Forecast verification measures river-flow error.
Read the methodology →Irondequoit Creek
Today's Weather: Good
75% rain
S 7mph
Coming up: Chance Rain Showers then Partly Sunny
Flow Rate
64.2
CFS
·
2.80
ft
Historical percentile 30 · Typical
24h trend
—
+0.1%
Steelhead window
180–400 CFS
Per-river researched optimal range
Distance
116 CFS below optimal · 2.80ft
Low water — projection flat
Weather: Clouds
· 62°F
· SSE 5mph
29.71" ↘
Guide says:
Low flow at 64 CFS. Estimated clarity is clear. Water temperature 55.8°F. Water assessment: good.
Gauge observation: Nov 5, 2026 3:15 AM EST
"It Was Sunny in Cleveland for Eleven Minutes"
Flow is below the river-specific reference range (180–400 CFS).
Flow phase: low.
Estimated clarity: clear.
Stored water temperature: 55.8°F.
Scoring reference: 180–400 CFS (manual). This is a model reference, not a flood-stage or wading assessment.
Operational Outlook
Assessment
Good water conditions.
Window
Put the next flow change alongside the basin weather and recent history. That’s where the useful planning picture comes together.
Weather Forecast & River Response
Weather forecast retrieved Nov 5, 4:01 AM EST.
Overnight: Rain Showers, 61°F, wind S 7 mph, precipitation chance 75%.
Thursday: Chance Rain Showers then Partly Sunny, 69°F, wind SW 7 to 14 mph, precipitation chance 33%.
Thursday Night: Mostly Cloudy, 49°F, wind SW 2 to 8 mph, precipitation chance 9%.
Friday: Mostly Cloudy then Chance Rain Showers, 63°F, wind SW 5 mph, precipitation chance 42%.
Friday Night: Rain Showers, 42°F, wind W 1 to 5 mph, precipitation chance 83%.
Low flow means less water to work with. The next rain could provide a useful pulse; watch the rainfall amounts and how this basin responds.
Conditions
Stored air temperature: 61.8°F.
Stored weather: Clouds.
Stored wind: 4.6 mph SSE.
Rigs to consider right now
Match the current report to a setup
Centerpin Sucker Spawn Rig
Presents small egg patterns naturally through clear, pressured water where drift quality matters.
Advanced
Indicator Nymphing Rig
Suspends nymphs at a repeatable depth while giving you a visible take signal.
Intermediate
River Float Rig
Keeps a natural offering drifting at the same pace as the current instead of dragging behind your line.
Beginner
Spey & Swing Rig
Covers water efficiently when fish are willing to move for a broadside fly.
Intermediate
Fall river plan
Irondequoit Creek other seasonal fishing targets
The river is in a transition window. Warm afternoons can turn on smallmouth and panfish while cooler pockets still matter.
Northern Pike
PeakWhere: cooler weed edges, connected backwaters, tributary mouths, and ambush lanes on Irondequoit Creek.
Move: spinnerbaits, spoons, jerkbaits, and quick releases when water warms.
Species guide →Current read
Water temp 55.8°F. Flow-estimated clarity is clear; visibility is unverified. Overall rating: Good for steelhead. Use the graph below to time falling or stabilizing flows before committing a trip.
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7-Day Flow & Temperature
Flow distribution
1095-day history · n=2,156 · 85% confidence
Now vs history
116 CFS below optimal
Optimal window
180–400 CFS
Per-river researched optimal range
Typical range
62–82 CFS
25th–75th percentile
Seasonal context:
Current flow is typical for November.
November median on this river: 65 CFS
(n=105 hourly samples).
Historical flow-based clarity estimates
Clear
flow estimate
62–83 CFS typical
Stained
469–643 CFS typical
Below average:
Between the historical 25th and 50th percentiles.
Sample quantiles
|
Theoretical line
Fair fit — tails diverge (62%)
Points on the dashed line mean the river's flow distribution is log-normal. Bows at the tails suggest multiple flow regimes (snowmelt vs rain events) or sensor artifacts. The math for this river uses log-space statistics, so a poor fit here is a reason to squint at the optimal zone.
Recent Angler Reports
Join to PostBeen on the Irondequoit Creek? Share your report.
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No reports are available to you for Irondequoit Creek.
Near Irondequoit Creek
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Hollins Fishing Co.
Rochester, NY · 2 mi
Hollins Fishing Co. offers guided fly fishing, fly-fishing lessons and fly-tying instruction around Rochester, New York. Brandon Hollins specializes in the area’s tributaries, with brown trout, steelhead and salmon among the species described on his website. Instruction includes casting, line management, knots, fly selection and reading water.
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30-Day Statistics
Min Flow
56 CFS
Max Flow
262 CFS
Avg Flow
68 CFS
Min Temp
46.8°F
Max Temp
56.1°F
Avg Temp
50.7°F
7-Day Fishing Outlook
Quantitative precipitation coverage is incomplete. Rain chances do not establish rainfall amounts or future river flows.
Highest weather-only score: Saturday. Check current water conditions separately; this is not a best-river or fishing-success forecast.
Daily Fishing Forecast
Weather-based daily ratings — independent of current river flow. A "good" forecast day can still mean a blown-out river. Cross-reference with the Almanac Briefing above for a complete picture.
Overnight — Angler's Report
good fishing- A smaller rain amount is forecast. Check current flow and local visibility; weather alone does not confirm fish activity.
NWS Forecast Detail
Overnight:
Rain showers. Cloudy, with a low around 61. South wind around 7 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch possible.
Thursday — Angler's Report
good fishing- A smaller rain amount is forecast. Check current flow and local visibility; weather alone does not confirm fish activity.
- Warmer air is forecast. Check an actual local water temperature before choosing a fishing window.
NWS Forecast Detail
Thursday:
A chance of rain showers before 10am. Partly sunny. High near 69, with temperatures falling to around 62 in the afternoon. Southwest wind 7 to 14 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch possible.
Thursday Night:
Mostly cloudy, with a low around 49. Southwest wind 2 to 8 mph.
Friday — Angler's Report
good fishing- A smaller rain amount is forecast. Check current flow and local visibility; weather alone does not confirm fish activity.
- Warmer air is forecast. Check an actual local water temperature before choosing a fishing window.
NWS Forecast Detail
Friday:
A chance of rain showers after 1pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 63. Southwest wind around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%. New rainfall amounts less than a tenth of an inch possible.
Friday Night:
Rain showers. Cloudy, with a low around 42. West wind 1 to 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch possible.
Saturday — Angler's Report
good fishing- A smaller rain amount is forecast. Check current flow and local visibility; weather alone does not confirm fish activity.
NWS Forecast Detail
Saturday:
Rain showers. Cloudy, with a high near 55. West wind 6 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch possible.
Saturday Night:
Rain showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 38. Northwest wind 6 to 9 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%.
Sunday — Angler's Report
good fishing- Rainfall amount is unavailable or precipitation phase is mixed/frozen. Precipitation chance alone does not establish a river rise.
- Warmer air is forecast. Check an actual local water temperature before choosing a fishing window.
NWS Forecast Detail
Sunday:
A chance of rain showers before 7am. Mostly sunny, with a high near 56. West wind 8 to 14 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Sunday Night:
A chance of rain showers after 7pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 37. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Monday — Angler's Report
fair fishing- Rainfall amount is unavailable or precipitation phase is mixed/frozen. Precipitation chance alone does not establish a river rise.
- Breezy conditions (15 mph W) — adjust casting angles and expect some difficulty with line control.
NWS Forecast Detail
Monday:
A chance of rain showers before 1pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 55. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Monday Night:
Partly cloudy, with a low around 39.
Tuesday — Angler's Report
fair fishing- Rainfall amount is unavailable or precipitation phase is mixed/frozen. Precipitation chance alone does not establish a river rise.
- Warmer air is forecast. Check an actual local water temperature before choosing a fishing window.
- Breezy conditions (15 mph SW) — adjust casting angles and expect some difficulty with line control.
NWS Forecast Detail
Tuesday:
Mostly sunny, with a high near 60.
Tuesday Night:
A slight chance of rain showers after 7pm. Partly cloudy, with a low around 36.
Veterans Day — Angler's Report
good fishing- Rainfall amount is unavailable or precipitation phase is mixed/frozen. Precipitation chance alone does not establish a river rise.
NWS Forecast Detail
Veterans Day:
A slight chance of rain showers before 1pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 53.
Forecast via NWS, updated 18 minutes ago (Nov 5, 2026 4:01 AM EST). Fishing ratings are estimates based on weather — always check current river conditions.
Recommended Gear
Clear water + low water + warmer temps — finesse tippet and natural patterns first.
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More on Irondequoit Creek
Recent Storm Events
- October 30 New York (Lake Ontario) Storm — Oct 30, 2026
- October 29-30 New York (Lake Erie) & New York (Lake Ontario) & Ohio Storm — Oct 29, 2026
- October 11-12 Alley Storm — Oct 11, 2026
Species Profiles
- Steelhead Oncorhynchus mykiss
- Brown Trout Salmo trutta
