Irondequoit Creek

Good
Confidence: 21%
Sources: recent regression

About Irondequoit Creek

Irondequoit Creek drains 151 square miles of Rochester suburbs into Irondequoit Bay and Lake Ontario, less famous than the Genesee or Salmon River but a steady producer for anglers willing to fish it. The Powder Mills Park reach is the iconic access; the lower reach through the Penfield reaches and the Irondequoit Bay mouth holds fish in fall and spring. Limestone-influenced; fishes with consistency.

October through April. Peak runs late October through December and again March through April. Limestone influence keeps it clearer than other regional creeks. The optimal fishing flow on Irondequoit Creek is 180–400 CFS — flows above this range are typically too high and stained, flows below run low and clear. The river's long-term median flow is approximately 89 CFS, computed from the last several years of USGS gauge readings.

Current conditions (live, updated every 15 minutes): flow 140 CFS, water 67.6°F, clarity clear. Steelhead Almanac's Guide's Report rates the river GOOD as of this reading.

STORM ACTIVE moderate

Flow up 65% in 6h.

Flow Rate
140
CFS
Gauge Height
3.66
ft
Water Temp
67.6
°F
Air Temp
67.6
°F
Clarity
Clear
Wind
🌬 7 mph
W
Side

Last updated: 7 minutes ago (9:00 PM EDT)

Conditions today: Good. Trending: improving. Storm active.

Flow Pressure Air temp, scaled Rain per hour Storm pulse window Hourly flow pending Confidence: 0.21

Three days of nothing. 94 CFS held within 49%, water sat at 65°F, barometer barely moved. These are the days where the lake just shrugs at us. If the bite is on, no obvious reason. If it's off, also no obvious reason. Quiet sky on the way. Conditions should hold. Storm lifecycle says ACTIVE. Flow up 65% in 6h. Treat the analysis above as a moving target until the pulse clears.

Lookback window Sep 10, 9 pm to Sep 13, 9 pm ET. Data refresh every 15 min. This is a pattern read, not proof of causation; fish reserve the right to embarrass the spreadsheet.
Flow Pressure Air temp, scaled Rain per hour Storm pulse window Hourly flow pending

Over the last three days, 0.43" of rain landed and the Irondequoit Creek answered. Flow climbed from 80 to 275 CFS over 5.0 hours, then started its drop-back. Water temp shifted dropped by 0.6°F — that's the storm's footprint. Quiet sky on the way. Conditions should hold. Storm lifecycle says ACTIVE. Flow up 65% in 6h. Treat the analysis above as a moving target until the pulse clears.

Lookback window Sep 6, 9 pm to Sep 13, 9 pm ET. Data refresh every 15 min. This is a pattern read, not proof of causation; fish reserve the right to embarrass the spreadsheet.
Gauge Flow (CFS) Height (ft) Water Temp Updated
Irondequoit Creek above Blossom Rd, Rochester (primary) 140 3.66 67.6°F 7 minutes ago 9:00 PM EDT
Irondequoit Creek at Railroad Mills, Fishers 25 4.23 - 7 minutes ago 9:00 PM EDT

Guide's Report

good smallmouth bass fishing

Based on current conditions as of Sun, Sep 13 at 9:00 PM EDT (7 minutes ago)

Holding steady at 140 CFS, water is clear, 68°F — active warmwater feeding. A good day if you read the water right. Stable water means fish are in their comfort zones. That Head Shake Changes Everything.

Steelhead green DAWN DUSK DUSK 64° 4% 59° 20% 57° 10% 64° 66° 58° Sunrise 6:48am Sunset 7:22pm Solar Noon 1:05pm Dawn 6:20am Dusk 7:50pm 140 CFS Summer falling and cleari 🌒 5% Waxing Crescent N E S W 7 W mph 29.91" inHg stable 67.6°F Water Temp Now 9:05pm
Irondequoit Creek
Today's Weather: Fair 30% rain NW 8mph
Coming up: Chance Rain Showers then Mostly Sunny
Flow Rate
0 CFS · 3.66 ft
71th percentile · Typical
Summer mode - falling and clearing
24h trend
+30.1%
N E S W 7 W mph wind 72h ago now High 130 Normal 89 Low 68 Flood 335 OPT 6h 24h 72h 3.66ft
Summer fishability window 90–202 CFS
Current-month middle flow band for warm-water fishing
72h movement falling (-10.9%)
Status falling and clearing · 3.66ft
Low water — projection flat
Confidence: 21%
Sources: recent regression
Clouds · 68°F · W 7mph
29.91"
Guide says: Holding steady at 140 CFS, water is clear, 68°F — active warmwater feeding. A good day if you read the water right. Stable water means fish are in their comfort zones. That Head Shake Changes Everything.
"Wader-Deep in Bad Decisions"

Flow is stable in the ideal range — fish are settled and holding in predictable lies.

Clear water — ideal for visual hunters like smallmouth. Long leaders, natural colors, and finesse presentations like drop-shots will produce.

Water at 68°F — post-spawn and early summer active zone. Bass are feeding aggressively in the shallows.

How to Fish It

Technique

This is tube and drop-shot weather. Drag tubes or drop-shots over rocky structures, reefs, and current seams. Active retrieve will trigger strikes.

Fly/Lure Selection

Clear water demands finesse. 6-8lb fluoro, natural colored tubes (watermelon, green pumpkin), 3-inch drop-shot worms, or small swimbaits.

Where to Fish

Focus on current breaks, behind large boulders, and slack water eddies along the banks.

Timing

Dawn and dusk windows are prime. Get out early before the sun is high, or fish the last 90 minutes of light.

Storm Context

STORM ACTIVE moderate

Flow up 65% in 6h.

Storm is rolling through right now. Radar is loud; gauges will catch up over the next several hours. Conditions will shift fast, and we are not weather scientists.

  • - Treat any decent current rating as temporary.
  • - Check gauges again after the storm has moved through.
  • - Expect clarity, flow, and access to change quickly.

What's Coming

Heavy rain is incoming — fish NOW. Current conditions are fishable but the river will blow out. This is your window.

Rigs to consider right now

Match the current report to a setup

All rig guides

Fall river plan

Irondequoit Creek summer fishing targets

Water temperature is in the active warmwater range. Expect bass and panfish to feed around current breaks, rock, and shade.

Smallmouth Bass

Where: boulder runs, bridge shade, pool tails, creek-mouth rock, and lower-river current breaks on Irondequoit Creek.

Move: tubes, Ned rigs, small jerkbaits, poppers, and crayfish-colored streamers.

Species guide →

Walleye

Where: lake mouths, harbor edges, deeper summer basin water, and low-light shoreline structure on Irondequoit Creek.

Move: crawler harnesses, crankbaits, jigs, and evening presentations near moving water.

Species guide →

Panfish

Where: docks, weed edges, ponds, marina slips, brush, and shaded shoreline structure on Irondequoit Creek.

Move: small jigs, waxworms, micro poppers, and slip floats for kids or fast action.

Species guide →

Northern Pike

Where: cooler weed edges, connected backwaters, tributary mouths, and ambush lanes on Irondequoit Creek.

Move: spinnerbaits, spoons, jerkbaits, and quick releases when water warms.

Species guide →

Current read

Water temp 67.6°F. Clarity is clear. Overall rating: Good for smallmouth bass. Use the graph below to time falling or stabilizing flows before committing a trip.

Summer FAQ

What can I fish for on Irondequoit Creek in summer?

Focus on the warm-water species shown above, then use the live flow, clarity, and temperature read to choose shade, rock, current breaks, creek mouths, lakefront structure, and low-light windows.

Steelhead care

Should I target steelhead on Irondequoit Creek in summer?

Usually no. When water is warm, shift to smallmouth, walleye, panfish, pike, or another summer target instead of pressuring stressed trout.

7-Day Flow & Temperature

Flow distribution

1095-day history · n=1,972 · 84% confidence

71th percentile · Sweet spot
6h 24h 72h 140 CFS 68 p25 89 p50 130 p75 OPTIMAL freq
Now vs history
40 CFS below optimal
Optimal window
180–400 CFS
Per-river researched optimal range
Typical range
68–130 CFS
25th–75th percentile
Seasonal context: Current flow is typical for September. September median on this river: 117 CFS (n=295 hourly samples).
Clarity vs flow ranges
Steelhead Green likely now
68–123 CFS typical
Stained
465–643 CFS typical
Sweet spot: Historically the productive zone.
-2 -1 0 1 2 5399185344638 Theoretical z (standard normal) Sample flow (CFS)
Sample quantiles | Theoretical line Fair fit — tails diverge (70%)

Points on the dashed line mean the river's flow distribution is log-normal. Bows at the tails suggest multiple flow regimes (snowmelt vs rain events) or sensor artifacts. The math for this river uses log-space statistics, so a poor fit here is a reason to squint at the optimal zone.

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30-Day Statistics

Min Flow
58 CFS
Max Flow
1,060 CFS
Avg Flow
125 CFS
Min Temp
61.7°F
Max Temp
71.2°F
Avg Temp
66.2°F

7-Day Fishing Outlook

Substantial precipitation in the forecast. Rivers will rise — fish the front end before conditions deteriorate.

Best day to fish: Today — Light rain will bump flows slightly and give overcast skies — steelhead feed aggressively in these conditions.

Wednesday is the day before rain moves in — barometric pressure drop often triggers aggressive feeding. Don't miss it.

Daily Fishing Forecast

Weather-based daily ratings — independent of current river flow. A "good" forecast day can still mean a blown-out river. Cross-reference with the Guide's Report above for a complete picture.

Today — Angler's Report

fair fishing
  • Light rain will bump flows slightly and give overcast skies — steelhead feed aggressively in these conditions.
  • Slight Risk on this day — large hail, damaging wind, or tornado risk. Monitor radar and bail if storms develop.

NWS Forecast Detail

Tonight: A chance of rain showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 56. Northwest wind 8 to 14 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%. New rainfall amounts less than a tenth of an inch possible.

Monday — Angler's Report

good fishing
  • Light rain will bump flows slightly and give overcast skies — steelhead feed aggressively in these conditions.
  • Warm for steelhead season — focus on early morning when water is coolest.

NWS Forecast Detail

Monday: A chance of rain showers before 8am. Mostly sunny, with a high near 67. Northwest wind 8 to 12 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%. New rainfall amounts less than a tenth of an inch possible.
Monday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 48. West wind 1 to 7 mph.

Tuesday — Angler's Report

good fishing
  • Light rain will bump flows slightly and give overcast skies — steelhead feed aggressively in these conditions.
  • Warm for steelhead season — focus on early morning when water is coolest.

NWS Forecast Detail

Tuesday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 77. South wind 3 to 10 mph.
Tuesday Night: A slight chance of rain showers between 8pm and 11pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 63. South wind 5 to 9 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%. New rainfall amounts less than a tenth of an inch possible.

Wednesday — Angler's Report

good fishing
  • Light rain will bump flows slightly and give overcast skies — steelhead feed aggressively in these conditions.
  • Warm for steelhead season — focus on early morning when water is coolest.

NWS Forecast Detail

Wednesday: A chance of rain showers before 2pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 77. West wind around 6 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%. New rainfall amounts less than a tenth of an inch possible.
Wednesday Night: A slight chance of rain showers between 8pm and 2am, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 62. North wind around 2 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%.

Thursday — Angler's Report

fair fishing
  • Moderate rain will push flows up. Water may get stained to muddy — switch to bright flies and heavier weight.
  • Warm for steelhead season — focus on early morning when water is coolest.

NWS Forecast Detail

Thursday: Showers and thunderstorms likely. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 76. North wind 1 to 8 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Thursday Night: A chance of rain showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 60. Chance of precipitation is 30%.

Friday — Angler's Report

good fishing
  • Warm for steelhead season — focus on early morning when water is coolest.

NWS Forecast Detail

Friday: A slight chance of rain showers before 8am. Mostly sunny, with a high near 73.
Friday Night: A slight chance of rain showers after 8pm. Partly cloudy, with a low around 56.

Saturday — Angler's Report

good fishing
  • Light rain will bump flows slightly and give overcast skies — steelhead feed aggressively in these conditions.
  • Warm for steelhead season — focus on early morning when water is coolest.

NWS Forecast Detail

Saturday: A chance of rain showers. Partly sunny, with a high near 71. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Saturday Night: A chance of rain showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 56. Chance of precipitation is 40%.

Sunday — Angler's Report

fair fishing
  • Light rain will bump flows slightly and give overcast skies — steelhead feed aggressively in these conditions.
  • Warm for steelhead season — focus on early morning when water is coolest.
  • Slight Risk on this day — large hail, damaging wind, or tornado risk. Monitor radar and bail if storms develop.

NWS Forecast Detail

Sunday: A chance of rain showers. Partly sunny, with a high near 69.

Forecast via NWS, updated 1 hour ago (8:01 PM EDT). Fishing ratings are estimates based on weather — always check current river conditions.

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