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Euclid Creek

Fair
Confidence: 51%
Sources: recent regression

About Euclid Creek

Euclid Creek drains 22 square miles of suburban Cleveland into Lake Erie at the Euclid Creek Reservation. The lower mile through the metropark holds steelhead in the prime runs; the upper reaches above the I-90 crossing are too tight for productive fishing. Small water by SHA standards but a legitimate option when the larger Cleveland-area tribs are blown out.

October through April with fall and spring peaks. Small water -- bring short rods and walk-and-stalk gear. Clears within 24 hours of a rise. The steelhead model reference on Euclid Creek is 30–80 CFS. Basis: Per-river researched optimal range This is not a flood-stage or wading limit. The historical median flow is approximately 9 CFS, based on the available gauge history.

Current conditions (gauge observation Nov 5, 2026 12:04 PM EST): flow 21 CFS, clarity estimated from flow: clear. The Almanac Briefing rates the river FAIR as of this reading.

STORM RECOVERING moderate
Storm ended: 16 hours ago

Storm ended 16h ago; peak was 23 cfs; now at 280% of baseline.

Storm signals active in region.

Flow Rate
21.0
CFS
Gauge Height
2.44
ft
Water Temp
-
°F
Air Temp
62.2
°F
Estimated clarity
Clear
Estimated from flow — visibility unverified
Wind
🌬 17 mph
SW
Offshore wind — mouth clarity unverified

Current water temperature unavailable: a recent sensor reading with its own source and observation time is not established.

Gauge observation: 13 minutes ago (Nov 5, 2026 12:04 PM EST)

Conditions today: Fair. Trending: rough. Storm recovering.

Flow Pressure Air temp, scaled Rain per hour Storm pulse window Hourly flow pending Confidence: 0.51

In the selected lookback, 0.40" of rain was recorded in the latest detected pulse for the Euclid Creek. Flow climbed from 8 to 23 CFS quickly, then started its drop-back. Water temp shifted held steady. Light rain on the way (0.20"). Storm lifecycle says RECOVERING. Storm ended 16h ago; peak was 23 cfs; now at 280% of baseline. The useful window is the drop-back, not the peak.

Lookback window Nov 2, 12 pm to Nov 5, 12 pm ET. Data refresh every 15 min. This is a pattern read, not proof of causation; fish reserve the right to embarrass the spreadsheet.
Flow Pressure Air temp, scaled Rain per hour Storm pulse window Hourly flow pending

In the selected lookback, 0.40" of rain was recorded in the latest detected pulse for the Euclid Creek. Flow climbed from 8 to 23 CFS quickly, then started its drop-back. Water temp shifted held steady. Light rain on the way (0.20"). Storm lifecycle says RECOVERING. Storm ended 16h ago; peak was 23 cfs; now at 280% of baseline. The useful window is the drop-back, not the peak.

Lookback window Oct 29, 1 pm to Nov 5, 12 pm ET. Data refresh every 15 min. This is a pattern read, not proof of causation; fish reserve the right to embarrass the spreadsheet.
Gauge Flow (CFS) Height (ft) Water Temp Updated
Euclid Creek at Cleveland (primary) 21 2.44 - 13 minutes ago Nov 5, 2026 12:04 PM EST
Euclid Creek at South Euclid - 0.33 - 17 minutes ago Nov 5, 2026 12:00 PM EST

Almanac Briefing

Guide-level river, weather and fishing intelligence

fair water conditions

Based on gauge observation from Thu, Nov 5 at 12:04 PM EST (13 minutes ago)

Evidence at a glance

Last reported flow
21.0 CFS Configured USGS gauge for Euclid Creek.
Flow observation time
13 minutes ago · Within the current observation window
Water temperature · separate sensor evidence
UnavailableA recent sensor reading with its own source and observation time is not established.
Assessment basis
Clarity is estimated from flow. Ratings are model assessments.
Issued forecast · separate from observations
37.2 CFS projected for Fri Nov 6, 12:00 PM EST.Issued Nov 5, 5:00 AM EST. This is a forecast, not an observed reading.

Conditions do not establish fish presence or safe wading. Before a trip, verify current gauge readings, official weather alerts, access and regulations. Sources and methodology

Post-storm recovery at 21 CFS. Estimated clarity is clear. Water assessment: fair.

Season & Run Context

Lake Erie · Lake Above Fall Temperature Band

The lake-temperature model remains above its fall band. River temperatures may already be favorable, and fish may already be in tributaries. Check local river temperatures, flow and fresh fishing reports; watch lake cooling as separate seasonal context.

Model snapshot 2026-11-05 · lake surface temperature 60.5°F

Fishing Evidence

Quiet on the report front: no shared angler reports for these rivers in the last seven days.

Review regional steelhead signals in Pulse →

Flow History & Response

Last 24 hours of stored flow history: 7.3–84.0 CFS across 259 readings. First-to-last change: +13.7 CFS.

Inspect the flow history →

Prior Storms · Last 14 Days

Nov 3: November 3 Ohio Storm; ended Nov 3, 1:01 AM EST; archived rainfall forecast 0.000 in; archived basin rainfall maximum 0.000 in.

Oct 31: October 31 - November 1 Ohio Storm; ended Oct 31, 8:45 PM EDT; archived rainfall forecast 0.000 in; archived basin rainfall maximum 0.000 in.

Oct 29: October 29-30 New York (Lake Erie) & New York (Lake Ontario) & Ohio Storm; ended Oct 29, 9:00 PM EDT; archived rainfall forecast 0.000 in; archived basin rainfall maximum 0.320 in.

Issued River Flow Outlook

Euclid Creek · 37.2 CFS projected for Fri Nov 6, 12:00 PM EST (issued Nov 5, 5:00 AM EST)

Euclid Creek · 37.2 CFS projected for Sat Nov 7, 12:00 PM EST (issued Nov 5, 5:00 AM EST)

Euclid Creek · 37.2 CFS projected for Sun Nov 8, 12:00 PM EST (issued Nov 5, 5:00 AM EST)

Regional outlook: next available target per river. Individual briefings: up to three targets.

Forecast vs. Actual · Verification

Saved system-wide verification as of 2026-11-05T10:05:38+00:00: 12834 locked forecast cases, 9256 evaluated against later own-gauge readings. Pending, missing and excluded cases and errors by model, river and lead time are documented in the methodology. River results for model c5c4a91f: 60 scored cases; mean absolute flow error 2.4 CFS. Paired comparison (60 cases): model error 2.4 CFS versus 1.3 CFS for holding the issuance flow unchanged. River results for model 395a5868: 60 scored cases; mean absolute flow error 25.4 CFS. Paired comparison (60 cases): model error 25.4 CFS versus 24.2 CFS for holding the issuance flow unchanged. River results for model c2a5feaf: 6 scored cases; mean absolute flow error 27.6 CFS. Paired comparison (6 cases): model error 27.6 CFS versus 26.3 CFS for holding the issuance flow unchanged. River results for model 467e92d7: 12 scored cases; mean absolute flow error 28.2 CFS. Paired comparison (12 cases): model error 28.2 CFS versus 26.7 CFS for holding the issuance flow unchanged. River results for model ae671bd0: 90 scored cases; mean absolute flow error 10.4 CFS. Paired comparison (90 cases): model error 10.4 CFS versus 15.1 CFS for holding the issuance flow unchanged. River results for model 48521c91: 89 scored cases; mean absolute flow error 2.0 CFS. Paired comparison (89 cases): model error 2.0 CFS versus 1.3 CFS for holding the issuance flow unchanged. River results for model b3f961a9: 30 scored cases; mean absolute flow error 3.2 CFS. Paired comparison (30 cases): model error 3.2 CFS versus 2.8 CFS for holding the issuance flow unchanged. This verifies flow forecasts, not catches, clarity or the entire Alley Index.

Review forecast verification →
Sources & Methodology

Water ratings summarize flow, temperature and weather. Run context comes from the lake-temperature model; fishing totals come from shared angler reports. Clarity is estimated from flow, and temperature may come from a secondary gauge. Gauge timestamps and coverage describe the available history. Forecast verification measures river-flow error.

Read the methodology →
Open Chrome Clock II →
Euclid Creek
Today's Weather: Fair 63° 25% rain SW 17mph
Coming up: Cloudy then Chance Light Rain
Flow Rate
21.0 CFS · 2.44 ft
Historical percentile 86 · High
24h trend
↘ -94.4%
N E S W 17 SW mph wind 72h ago now High 13 Normal 9 Low 7 Above p95 43 OPT 6h 24h 72h 2.44ft
Steelhead window 30–80 CFS
Per-river researched optimal range
Distance 9 CFS below optimal · 2.44ft
Low water — projection flat
Confidence: 51%
Sources: recent regression
Weather: Clouds · 62°F · SW 17mph
29.83" →
Guide says: Post-storm recovery at 21 CFS. Estimated clarity is clear. Water assessment: fair.
Gauge observation: Nov 5, 2026 12:04 PM EST
"There Is No Bad Weather, Only Bad Waders"

Flow is below the river-specific reference range (30–80 CFS).

Flow phase: recovering.

Estimated clarity: clear.

Post-storm sediment may still be settling; verify visibility locally.

Scoring reference: 30–80 CFS (manual). This is a model reference, not a flood-stage or wading assessment.

Water temperature is unavailable; this assessment has no temperature evidence.

Operational Outlook

Assessment

Fair water conditions.

Window

Watch for falling flows to reach the reference range before the next rain pulse. That’s the window to keep on your radar.

Storm Context

STORM RECOVERING moderate

Storm ended 16h ago; peak was 23 cfs; now at 280% of baseline.

Storm passed 16 hours ago. Track falling flow, entry into the reference range and clearing water.

Storm signals active in region.

  • - Wait for clarity to settle before calling it prime.
  • - Look for dropping flow and soft edges.
  • - Compare the next observation with the expected recovery.

Weather Forecast & River Response

Weather forecast retrieved Nov 5, 10:01 AM EST.

Today: Partly Sunny, 63°F, wind SW 10 to 17 mph, precipitation chance 5%.

Tonight: Cloudy then Chance Light Rain, 47°F, wind SW 7 to 13 mph, precipitation chance 25%.

Friday: Light Rain, 55°F, wind W 8 to 13 mph, precipitation chance 88%.

Friday Night: Light Rain, 41°F, wind W 9 to 14 mph, precipitation chance 86%.

Saturday: Light Rain, 53°F, wind NW 15 mph, precipitation chance 86%.

This is the drop worth watching. Follow the flow toward the reference range and keep an eye on more basin rain—it can reset the clock.

Conditions

Stored air temperature: 62.2°F.

Stored weather: Clouds.

Stored wind: 17.3 mph SW.

Rigs to consider right now

Match the current report to a setup

All rig guides

Fall river plan

Euclid Creek other seasonal fishing targets

Use the current flow, clarity, water temperature, and sky conditions to choose among the in-season targets. Structure and low-light timing can help narrow your plan.

Walleye

Peak

Where: lake mouths, harbor edges, deeper basin water, and low-light shoreline structure on Euclid Creek.

Move: crawler harnesses, crankbaits, jigs, and evening presentations near moving water.

Species guide →

Northern Pike

Peak

Where: cooler weed edges, connected backwaters, tributary mouths, and ambush lanes on Euclid Creek.

Move: spinnerbaits, spoons, jerkbaits, and quick releases when water warms.

Species guide →

Current read

Flow-estimated clarity is clear; visibility is unverified. Overall rating: Fair for steelhead. Use the graph below to time falling or stabilizing flows before committing a trip.

7-Day Flow & Temperature

Flow distribution

1095-day history · n=2,151 · 85% confidence

86th percentile · High
6h 24h 72h 21 CFS 7 p25 9 p50 13 p75 OPTIMAL freq
Now vs history
9 CFS below optimal
Optimal window
30–80 CFS
Per-river researched optimal range
Typical range
7–13 CFS
25th–75th percentile
Seasonal context: Current flow is above typical for November. November median on this river: 10 CFS (n=98 hourly samples).
Historical flow-based clarity estimates
Clear flow estimate
7–12 CFS typical
Stained
90–140 CFS typical
Muddy
174–345 CFS typical
High: Between the historical 80th and 95th percentiles.
-2 -1 0 1 2 510214386 Theoretical z (standard normal) Sample flow (CFS)
Sample quantiles | Theoretical line Fair fit — tails diverge (67%)

Points on the dashed line mean the river's flow distribution is log-normal. Bows at the tails suggest multiple flow regimes (snowmelt vs rain events) or sensor artifacts. The math for this river uses log-space statistics, so a poor fit here is a reason to squint at the optimal zone.

Recent Angler Reports

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Near Euclid Creek

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Great Lakes Fly Fishing

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Great Lakes Fly Fishing is Captain Jeff Liskay’s guiding and instruction business, based in Avon Lake, Ohio. Its website offers guided fly and gear fishing, casting lessons and courses, including Great Lakes steelhead, Lake Erie, Lake St. Clair and walleye on the fly. Steelhead trips emphasize nymphing or swinging, learning and adapting to conditions.

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30-Day Statistics

Min Flow
5 CFS
Max Flow
322 CFS
Avg Flow
12 CFS
Min Temp
-
Max Temp
-
Avg Temp
-

7-Day Fishing Outlook

Highest weather-only score: Friday. Check current water conditions separately; this is not a best-river or fishing-success forecast.

Daily Fishing Forecast

Weather-based daily ratings — independent of current river flow. A "good" forecast day can still mean a blown-out river. Cross-reference with the Almanac Briefing above for a complete picture.

Today — Angler's Report

fair fishing
  • A smaller rain amount is forecast. Check current flow and local visibility; weather alone does not confirm fish activity.
  • Warmer air is forecast. Check an actual local water temperature before choosing a fishing window.
  • Breezy conditions (17 mph SW) — adjust casting angles and expect some difficulty with line control.

NWS Forecast Detail

Today
Today: Partly sunny, with a high near 63. Southwest wind 10 to 17 mph. New rainfall amounts less than a tenth of an inch possible.
Tonight
Tonight: A chance of rain after 4am. Cloudy, with a low around 47. Southwest wind 7 to 13 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%. New rainfall amounts less than a tenth of an inch possible.

Friday — Angler's Report

good fishing
  • A smaller rain amount is forecast. Check current flow and local visibility; weather alone does not confirm fish activity.

NWS Forecast Detail

Friday
Friday: Rain. Cloudy, with a high near 55. West wind 8 to 13 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New rainfall amounts less than a tenth of an inch possible.
Friday Night
Friday Night: Rain. Cloudy, with a low around 41. West wind 9 to 14 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New rainfall amounts less than a tenth of an inch possible.

Saturday — Angler's Report

good fishing
  • A smaller rain amount is forecast. Check current flow and local visibility; weather alone does not confirm fish activity.
  • Breezy conditions (15 mph NW) — adjust casting angles and expect some difficulty with line control.

NWS Forecast Detail

Saturday
Saturday: Rain. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 53. Northwest wind around 15 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New rainfall amounts less than a tenth of an inch possible.
Saturday Night
Saturday Night: A chance of rain before 7pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 40. Chance of precipitation is 40%. New rainfall amounts less than a tenth of an inch possible.

Sunday — Angler's Report

good fishing
  • A smaller rain amount is forecast. Check current flow and local visibility; weather alone does not confirm fish activity.
  • Warmer air is forecast. Check an actual local water temperature before choosing a fishing window.

NWS Forecast Detail

Sunday
Sunday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 56.
Sunday Night
Sunday Night: A slight chance of rain between 7pm and 1am. Partly cloudy, with a low around 41.

Monday — Angler's Report

good fishing
  • No rain amount is forecast in these periods. Releases, upstream rainfall and other factors can still change river flow.
  • Warmer air is forecast. Check an actual local water temperature before choosing a fishing window.

NWS Forecast Detail

Monday
Monday: Sunny, with a high near 57.
Monday Night
Monday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 44.

Tuesday — Angler's Report

good fishing
  • No rain amount is forecast in these periods. Releases, upstream rainfall and other factors can still change river flow.
  • Warmer air is forecast. Check an actual local water temperature before choosing a fishing window.

NWS Forecast Detail

Tuesday
Tuesday: Sunny, with a high near 60.
Tuesday Night
Tuesday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 42.

Veterans Day — Angler's Report

good fishing
  • No rain amount is forecast in these periods. Releases, upstream rainfall and other factors can still change river flow.
  • Warmer air is forecast. Check an actual local water temperature before choosing a fishing window.

NWS Forecast Detail

Veterans Day
Veterans Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 56.

Wednesday — Angler's Report

fair fishing
  • No rain amount is forecast in these periods. Releases, upstream rainfall and other factors can still change river flow.

NWS Forecast Detail

Wednesday Night
Wednesday Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 41.

Forecast via NWS, updated 2 hours ago (Nov 5, 2026 10:01 AM EST). Fishing ratings are estimates based on weather — always check current river conditions.

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