Sun September 13 New York (Lake Ontario) & Ohio & Pennsylvania Storm
Sep 13 alley-wide storm -- 0.8" in 6hrs, Eighteenmile Creek (Niagara) blew out, Johnson Creek fishable Sunday.
Meteorological Analysis
A major storm system rolled through the Steelhead Alley region starting on Sunday, September 13, 2026 and lasting until Sunday, September 13, 2026. The storm was active for approximately 6 hours, dumping a maximum of 0.81" of rain across affected zones. Geographically, the weather system impacted the New York (Lake Ontario), Ohio, Pennsylvania regions, causing rapid water-level rises on multiple tributaries.
Gauges recorded significant river responses, particularly along Grand River near Painesville (peaking at 256 CFS), Brandy Run near Girard (peaking at 2 CFS), Huron River (peaking at 36 CFS), Sandy Creek (Adams) (peaking at 54 CFS), Rocky River near Berea (peaking at 111 CFS), Cuyahoga River @ Independence (peaking at 701 CFS), Vermilion River @ Vermilion (peaking at 17 CFS), Black River (Watertown) (peaking at 1,830 CFS), Ashtabula River (peaking at 17 CFS), Conneaut Creek (peaking at 21 CFS), Chagrin River @ Willoughby (peaking at 68 CFS), Elk Creek (peaking at 12 CFS), Walnut Creek (peaking at 13 CFS), Twenty Mile Creek (peaking at 20 CFS), Crooked Creek (peaking at 5 CFS), Black River (peaking at 44 CFS), Euclid Creek (peaking at 10 CFS), Salmon River (peaking at 256 CFS), Oak Orchard Creek (peaking at 1,210 CFS), Genesee River (peaking at 1,300 CFS), Sandy Creek (Hamlin) (peaking at 89 CFS), Irondequoit Creek (peaking at 140 CFS), Johnson Creek (peaking at 110 CFS), Eighteenmile Creek (Niagara) (peaking at 98 CFS). Angling conditions deteriorated quickly during the peak flow periods, leading to temporary washouts. Gaging stations monitored the recovery times as flows began returning to their baselines, mapping out the best windows for fishermen to get back on the water.
From a weather prediction standpoint, the NWS forecasts for this event received an aggregate score card grade of 'B'. Gaging observations were matched against NWS precipitation models to assess the forecasting margins, highlighting the variance in local rainfall amounts across the lake shores.
Tributary Response & Recovery
Grand River near Painesville
- Pre-Storm Flow
- N/A
- Observed Peak
- 256 CFS
- Peak Time
- Sep 13, 15:00
Brandy Run near Girard
- Pre-Storm Flow
- N/A
- Observed Peak
- 2 CFS
- Peak Time
- Sep 13, 15:00
Huron River
- Pre-Storm Flow
- N/A
- Observed Peak
- 36 CFS
- Peak Time
- Sep 13, 15:00
Sandy Creek (Adams)
- Pre-Storm Flow
- N/A
- Observed Peak
- 54 CFS
- Peak Time
- Sep 13, 15:15
Rocky River near Berea
- Pre-Storm Flow
- N/A
- Observed Peak
- 111 CFS
- Peak Time
- Sep 13, 15:00
Cuyahoga River @ Independence
- Pre-Storm Flow
- 621 CFS
- Observed Peak
- 701 CFS
- Peak Time
- Sep 13, 20:00
- Recovers By
- Sep 13, 17:16
- Baseline Return
- Sep 13, 21:00
Vermilion River @ Vermilion
- Pre-Storm Flow
- N/A
- Observed Peak
- 17 CFS
- Peak Time
- Sep 13, 15:00
Black River (Watertown)
- Pre-Storm Flow
- N/A
- Observed Peak
- 1,830 CFS
- Peak Time
- Sep 13, 15:15
Ashtabula River
- Pre-Storm Flow
- N/A
- Observed Peak
- 17 CFS
- Peak Time
- Sep 13, 15:15
Conneaut Creek
- Pre-Storm Flow
- N/A
- Observed Peak
- 21 CFS
- Peak Time
- Sep 13, 15:00
Chagrin River @ Willoughby
- Pre-Storm Flow
- N/A
- Observed Peak
- 68 CFS
- Peak Time
- Sep 13, 20:30
Elk Creek
- Pre-Storm Flow
- N/A
- Observed Peak
- 12 CFS
- Peak Time
- Sep 13, 16:45
Walnut Creek
- Pre-Storm Flow
- N/A
- Observed Peak
- 13 CFS
- Peak Time
- Sep 13, 15:15
Twenty Mile Creek
- Pre-Storm Flow
- N/A
- Observed Peak
- 20 CFS
- Peak Time
- Sep 13, 17:00
Crooked Creek
- Pre-Storm Flow
- N/A
- Observed Peak
- 5 CFS
- Peak Time
- Sep 13, 15:45
Black River
- Pre-Storm Flow
- N/A
- Observed Peak
- 44 CFS
- Peak Time
- Sep 13, 15:00
Euclid Creek
- Pre-Storm Flow
- N/A
- Observed Peak
- 10 CFS
- Peak Time
- Sep 13, 15:00
Salmon River
- Pre-Storm Flow
- N/A
- Observed Peak
- 256 CFS
- Peak Time
- Sep 13, 15:00
Oak Orchard Creek
- Pre-Storm Flow
- 835 CFS
- Observed Peak
- 1,210 CFS
- Peak Time
- Sep 13, 22:00
- Baseline Return
- Sep 13, 23:00
Genesee River
- Pre-Storm Flow
- 984 CFS
- Observed Peak
- 1,300 CFS
- Peak Time
- Sep 14, 00:00
- Baseline Return
- Sep 14, 01:00
Sandy Creek (Hamlin)
- Pre-Storm Flow
- 79 CFS
- Observed Peak
- 89 CFS
- Peak Time
- Sep 14, 01:00
Irondequoit Creek
- Pre-Storm Flow
- 86 CFS
- Observed Peak
- 140 CFS
- Peak Time
- Sep 14, 01:00
Johnson Creek
- Pre-Storm Flow
- 88 CFS
- Observed Peak
- 110 CFS
- Peak Time
- Sep 13, 22:00
- Baseline Return
- Sep 13, 23:00
Eighteenmile Creek (Niagara)
- Pre-Storm Flow
- N/A
- Observed Peak
- 98 CFS
- Peak Time
- Sep 13, 15:00
Fishing Guide & Tactics
Looking for advice on how to target steelhead on these rivers when they are recovering from a storm? Check out our master guides: