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NY Erie Index

NY Erie Index: 41 (Average) → 49 projected for Thursday, Nov 5

Forecast issued Nov 4, 2026 5:00 AM EST; 7 of 7 rivers contributing. Model confidence 49%, not a validated probability.

Mixed conditions; pick rivers carefully.

See the Alley-wide 7-day Index forecast →

New York (Lake Erie) Steelhead Forecast

7 rivers · Updated every 15 minutes

Wednesday, Nov 4
Best Pick Today
Flow 149 CFS · 52°F · Flow-derived clarity: Clear; visibility unverified

Gauge observation: Nov 4, 2026 6:15 AM EST.

Temperature source: USGS 04213500; observed Nov 4, 2026 6:15 AM EST.

Low flow at 149 CFS. Estimated clarity is clear. Water temperature 52°F. Water assessment: good.

Avg Water Temp
52°F

1 river with established recent temperature sources; equal weight per river. This is not a region-wide measurement.

Flow-derived clear
7 rivers

Visibility unverified

7-Day Representative Weather Outlook

Weather-based ratings for Cattaraugus Creek, not a regional water assessment. Conditions elsewhere can differ; check each river's readings.

Forecast retrieved Nov 4, 2026 4:00 AM EST.

Quantitative precipitation coverage is incomplete. Rain chances do not establish rainfall amounts or future river flows.

Highest weather-only score: Friday. Check current water conditions separately; this is not a best-river or fishing-success forecast.

A cooling air-temperature trend is forecast. This alone does not establish a cold front, water-temperature change or fish behavior.

Wednesday
77° /58°
Partly Sunny, Rain Shower...
94% rain
good
Thursday
67° /48°
Rain Showers Likely then...
65% rain
good
Friday
60° /41°
Chance Rain Showers, Rain...
74% rain
good
Saturday
51° /36°
Rain Showers Likely
74% rain
good
Sunday
52° /35°
Chance Rain Showers
30% rain
good
Monday
52° /36°
Chance Rain Showers, Chan...
34% rain
good
Tuesday
56°
Slight Chance Rain Shower...
21% rain
good

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