Silver Creek

Fair
Confidence: 60%
Sources: recent regression

About Silver Creek

Silver Creek at the village of Silver Creek drains 31 square miles of Chautauqua County into Lake Erie, the smaller of the Silver/Walnut/Canadaway WNY trio and dependent on rain for runs. The creek runs tight to the village reaches with the Route 5 crossing as the iconic access. Best fished as a backup when the larger WNY tribs are blown out or as a stand-alone in low-water windows.

October through April when flows are present. Rain-dependent. Use Cattaraugus or Eighteen Mile Creek for proxy flow when the gauge is sparse. The optimal fishing flow on Silver Creek is 30–80 CFS — flows above this range are typically too high and stained, flows below run low and clear. The river's long-term median flow is approximately 4 CFS, computed from the last several years of USGS gauge readings.

Current conditions (live, updated every 15 minutes): flow 2 CFS, clarity clear. Steelhead Almanac's Guide's Report rates the river FAIR as of this reading.

Flow Rate
2
CFS
Gauge Height
3.75
ft
Water Temp
-
°F
Air Temp
71.7
°F
Clarity
Clear
Wind
🌬 9 mph
S
Offshore — mouth clean

Last updated: 11 minutes ago (10:46 PM EDT)

Conditions today: Fair. Trending: rough.

Flow Pressure Air temp, scaled Rain per hour Storm pulse window Hourly flow pending Confidence: 0.6

No big rain in the lookback, but the barometer dropped 0.13 inHg over the last 24 hours. Flow held steady at 6 CFS, water temp drifted held steady. Falling pressure has a reputation — sometimes it wakes fish up, sometimes it shuts them down, and we're not going to pretend we know which it'll be today. Light rain on the way (0.15").

Lookback window Sep 9, 10 pm to Sep 12, 10 pm ET. Data refresh every 15 min. This is a pattern read, not proof of causation; fish reserve the right to embarrass the spreadsheet.
Flow Pressure Air temp, scaled Rain per hour Storm pulse window Hourly flow pending

No big rain in the lookback, but the barometer dropped 0.13 inHg over the last 24 hours. Flow held steady at 4 CFS, water temp drifted held steady. Falling pressure has a reputation — sometimes it wakes fish up, sometimes it shuts them down, and we're not going to pretend we know which it'll be today. Light rain on the way (0.15").

Lookback window Sep 5, 10 pm to Sep 12, 10 pm ET. Data refresh every 15 min. This is a pattern read, not proof of causation; fish reserve the right to embarrass the spreadsheet.

Guide's Report

fair steelhead fishing

Based on current conditions as of Sat, Sep 12 at 10:46 PM EDT (11 minutes ago)

Holding steady at 2 CFS, water is clear. Conditions are marginal. Local knowledge is your edge today. Stable water means fish are in their comfort zones. Mortgage Can Wait. The Run Can't..

Steelhead green DAWN DUSK DUSK 70° 3% 70° 11% 74° 7% 75° 20% 70° 53% Sunrise 6:54am Sunset 7:30pm Solar Noon 1:12pm Dawn 6:26am Dusk 7:58pm 2 CFS Summer falling and cleari 🌒 2% Waxing Crescent N E S W 9 S mph 29.91" inHg stable Now 10:55pm
Silver Creek
Today's Weather: Fair 52% rain S 7mph
Coming up: Partly Sunny then Slight Chance Rain Showers
Flow Rate
0 CFS · 3.75 ft
20th percentile · Low
Summer mode - falling and clearing
24h trend
-28.9%
N E S W 9 S mph wind 72h ago now High 8 Normal 4 Low 2 Flood 22 OPT 6h 24h 72h 3.75ft
Summer fishability window 2–5 CFS
Current-month middle flow band for warm-water fishing
72h movement falling (-11.7%)
Status falling and clearing · 3.75ft
Low water — projection flat
Confidence: 60%
Sources: recent regression
Clouds · 72°F · S 9mph
29.91"
Guide says: Holding steady at 2 CFS, water is clear. Conditions are marginal. Local knowledge is your edge today. Stable water means fish are in their comfort zones. Mortgage Can Wait. The Run Can't..
"Come for the Conditions. Stay for the Skunking."

Flow is stable in the ideal range — fish are settled and holding in predictable lies.

Clear water — steelhead can see everything, including you. Long leaders, lighter tippet (6lb fluoro), natural colors. Stay low and approach from downstream.

How to Fish It

Fly Selection

Clear water demands subtlety. Natural egg colors (Oregon cheese, pale peach), small stonefly nymphs (#12-#14), and pheasant tails. 6lb fluorocarbon tippet max.

Where to Fish

Stable flows — fish are in predictable lies. Work the classic steelhead water: heads and tailouts of runs, gravel transitions, and current seams. Methodical coverage pays off.

What's Coming

Heavy rain is incoming — fish NOW. Current conditions are fishable but the river will blow out. This is your window.

Rigs to consider right now

Match the current report to a setup

All rig guides

Fall river plan

Silver Creek summer fishing targets

Use the current flow, clarity, and sky conditions to choose the target. Summer fish usually reward shade, structure, and low-light timing.

Smallmouth Bass

Where: boulder runs, bridge shade, pool tails, creek-mouth rock, and lower-river current breaks on Silver Creek.

Move: tubes, Ned rigs, small jerkbaits, poppers, and crayfish-colored streamers.

Species guide →

Walleye

Where: lake mouths, harbor edges, deeper summer basin water, and low-light shoreline structure on Silver Creek.

Move: crawler harnesses, crankbaits, jigs, and evening presentations near moving water.

Species guide →

Panfish

Where: docks, weed edges, ponds, marina slips, brush, and shaded shoreline structure on Silver Creek.

Move: small jigs, waxworms, micro poppers, and slip floats for kids or fast action.

Species guide →

Northern Pike

Where: cooler weed edges, connected backwaters, tributary mouths, and ambush lanes on Silver Creek.

Move: spinnerbaits, spoons, jerkbaits, and quick releases when water warms.

Species guide →

Current read

Clarity is clear. Overall rating: Fair for steelhead. Use the graph below to time falling or stabilizing flows before committing a trip.

Summer FAQ

What can I fish for on Silver Creek in summer?

Focus on the warm-water species shown above, then use the live flow, clarity, and temperature read to choose shade, rock, current breaks, creek mouths, lakefront structure, and low-light windows.

Steelhead care

Should I target steelhead on Silver Creek in summer?

Usually no. When water is warm, shift to smallmouth, walleye, panfish, pike, or another summer target instead of pressuring stressed trout.

7-Day Flow & Temperature

Flow distribution

1095-day history · n=2,117 · 84% confidence

20th percentile · Low
6h 24h 72h 2 CFS 2 p25 4 p50 8 p75 OPTIMAL freq
Now vs history
28 CFS below optimal
Optimal window
30–80 CFS
Per-river researched optimal range
Typical range
2–8 CFS
25th–75th percentile
Seasonal context: Current flow is below typical for September. September median on this river: 4 CFS (n=272 hourly samples).
Clarity vs flow ranges
Steelhead Green likely now
2–8 CFS typical
Low: Below typical — fish may be hugging deeper runs.
-2 -1 0 1 2 1491939 Theoretical z (standard normal) Sample flow (CFS)
Sample quantiles | Theoretical line Fair fit — tails diverge (74%)

Points on the dashed line mean the river's flow distribution is log-normal. Bows at the tails suggest multiple flow regimes (snowmelt vs rain events) or sensor artifacts. The math for this river uses log-space statistics, so a poor fit here is a reason to squint at the optimal zone.

Recent Angler Reports

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Near Silver Creek

Local Fly Shops & Guides Featured

Around The Bend Fly Fishing

Angola, NY · 10 mi

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Certified instructor and award-winning angler. Walk-and-wade steelhead trips on 18 Mile Creek and other Erie tribs.

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Full-time licensed guides since 2005. Fly and float fishing for steelhead, browns, and salmon on NY and PA tribs.

Webers Bait & Tackle

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Local bait and tackle near Lake Erie and Eighteen Mile Creek steelhead water.

Cattaraugus Creek Outfitters

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Guided steelhead and salmon trips on Cattaraugus Creek, one of NY's premier Lake Erie tributaries.

Zoar Valley Canoe & Rafting

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Whitewater rafting and kayaking through Zoar Valley canyon on Cattaraugus Creek. Spring season March-June.

Bills Hooks

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Family-owned bait and tackle serving Erie and Chautauqua counties. Covers Dunkirk, Fredonia, Silver Creek, and Hamburg areas.

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30-Day Statistics

Min Flow
2 CFS
Max Flow
77 CFS
Avg Flow
5 CFS
Min Temp
-
Max Temp
-
Avg Temp
-

7-Day Fishing Outlook

Multiple days of heavy rain ahead — expect significant flow increases and muddy water. Plan trips for windows between rain events or 1-2 days after.

Best day to fish: Tuesday — Light rain will bump flows slightly and give overcast skies — steelhead feed aggressively in these conditions.

Wednesday is the day before rain moves in — barometric pressure drop often triggers aggressive feeding. Don't miss it.

Daily Fishing Forecast

Weather-based daily ratings — independent of current river flow. A "good" forecast day can still mean a blown-out river. Cross-reference with the Guide's Report above for a complete picture.

Today — Angler's Report

fair fishing
  • Moderate rain will push flows up. Water may get stained to muddy — switch to bright flies and heavier weight.

NWS Forecast Detail

Tonight: A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 11pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms between 11pm and 1am, then a slight chance of showers and thunderstorms between 1am and 2am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 67. South wind 7 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50%. New rainfall amounts less than a tenth of an inch possible.

Sunday — Angler's Report

fair fishing
  • Moderate rain will push flows up. Water may get stained to muddy — switch to bright flies and heavier weight.
  • Warm for steelhead season — focus on early morning when water is coolest.

NWS Forecast Detail

Sunday: A slight chance of rain showers after 2pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 77. West wind 6 to 12 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%. New rainfall amounts less than a tenth of an inch possible.
Sunday Night: A chance of rain showers before 7pm, then showers and thunderstorms likely between 7pm and 2am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 53. Northwest wind 9 to 13 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts less than a tenth of an inch possible.

Monday — Angler's Report

fair fishing
  • Dry conditions — flows should remain stable. Good day to target tailouts and runs.
  • Warm for steelhead season — focus on early morning when water is coolest.

NWS Forecast Detail

Monday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 66. North wind 6 to 9 mph.
Monday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 49. East wind 2 to 7 mph.

Tuesday — Angler's Report

good fishing
  • Light rain will bump flows slightly and give overcast skies — steelhead feed aggressively in these conditions.
  • Warm for steelhead season — focus on early morning when water is coolest.

NWS Forecast Detail

Tuesday: Partly sunny, with a high near 76. South wind 8 to 12 mph.
Tuesday Night: A chance of rain showers after 8pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 64. South wind 8 to 12 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%.

Wednesday — Angler's Report

good fishing
  • Light rain will bump flows slightly and give overcast skies — steelhead feed aggressively in these conditions.
  • Warm for steelhead season — focus on early morning when water is coolest.

NWS Forecast Detail

Wednesday: A chance of rain showers before 2pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny, with a high near 77. West wind 3 to 8 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Wednesday Night: A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 8pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 65. Chance of precipitation is 50%.

Thursday — Angler's Report

fair fishing
  • Moderate rain will push flows up. Water may get stained to muddy — switch to bright flies and heavier weight.
  • Warm for steelhead season — focus on early morning when water is coolest.

NWS Forecast Detail

Thursday: Rain showers likely. Partly sunny, with a high near 78. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Thursday Night: Rain showers likely. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 60. Chance of precipitation is 60%.

Friday — Angler's Report

good fishing
  • Light rain will bump flows slightly and give overcast skies — steelhead feed aggressively in these conditions.
  • Warm for steelhead season — focus on early morning when water is coolest.

NWS Forecast Detail

Friday: A chance of rain showers. Partly sunny, with a high near 72. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Friday Night: A chance of rain showers. Partly cloudy, with a low around 55. Chance of precipitation is 30%.

Saturday — Angler's Report

good fishing
  • Light rain will bump flows slightly and give overcast skies — steelhead feed aggressively in these conditions.
  • Warm for steelhead season — focus on early morning when water is coolest.

NWS Forecast Detail

Saturday: A chance of rain showers. Partly sunny, with a high near 71.

Forecast via NWS, updated 2 hours ago (8:01 PM EDT). Fishing ratings are estimates based on weather — always check current river conditions.

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